Showing posts with label Economis. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Economis. Show all posts

Thursday, March 5, 2009

The European Central Bank has cut its key interest rate to 1.5% from 2.0%


Jean-Claude Trichet, President, ECB
Overall inflation rates have decreased significantly and are now expected to remain well below 2% over 2009 and 2010.


Euro rates hit record low of 1.5% .The European Central Bank (ECB) has cut its key interest rate to 1.5% from 2.0%, the lowest since it started setting euro rates in January 1999.

It followed a cut in UK rates by the Bank of England. US and Japanese rates are, in effect, already at zero.

At a news conference, ECB president Jean-Claude Trichet slashed his forecasts for eurozone growth.
The ECB is now predicting GDP this year in the 16-nation bloc will shrink by between 2.2% and 3.2%.

Its last prediction, made in December, was that growth would be between no change and a fall of 1% in 2009.

For 2010 it was predicting growth of between 0.5% and 1.5%. It is now forecasting growth of between 0.7% and minus 0.7%.

Non-standard measures

The revisions reflect Mr Trichet's view that the global economy has "weakened substantially in recent months" but that it will "gradually recover" in 2010.
But there were no new measures announced to help stimulate the eurozone economy, with Mr Trichet stressing that he was already using various "non-standard measures" and saying that the ECB's rate-setters were considering various others.

Slowing growth was confirmed by revised economic growth figures issued earlier on Thursday.

GDP for the last three months of 2008 was down 1.3% from the same quarter of the previous year, worse than the initial estimate of 1.2%.

The figure for the previous quarter was left unchanged at a 1.5% fall.

Thursday's decision was the ECB's fifth rate cut since October 2008, which has brought eurozone rates down from 4.25%.

Mr Trichet said that interest rates could still fall further from their current level, although he pointed out that they are already at a very low level.

He also said that inflation would stay below the ECB's target of below, but close to, 2%.

"Overall inflation rates have decreased significantly and are now expected to remain well below 2% over 2009 and 2010,"

Wednesday, January 28, 2009

US President Barack Obama's $825bn (£576bn) economic stimulus package

US House passes economic package
Passed by 244 votes to 188, no Republicans backed the plan, saying it was too expensive and would not work.
The Senate debates the plan next week, and it could face stiff opposition as the Democrats have a slimmer majority.
After the vote, Mr Obama urged members of Congress not to "drag our feet or allow the same partisan differences to get in our way".
The president has said his package, which he hopes to sign into law next month, would help create a favourable climate for American business to thrive.
The bill would cut taxes for people and businesses by $275bn, while pumping more than $540bn into a range of initiatives including road and bridge repair, increased unemployment benefits, investment in new technology and renovations to 10,000 schools.
Heated debate
Mr Obama has pledged to try to end partisan division in Washington, but the debate on how best to kick start the US economy has devolved into a bitter squabble along party lines, says the BBC's Richard Lister in Washington.

In a heated debate, a succession of Republicans in Congress have condemned the stimulus package as a wasteful government spending exercise that will do little to create jobs.
They promoted their own bill, focussing more on tax cuts, which they said would create more jobs for half the investment.
"Fast-acting tax relief will create more jobs in America than a lot of slow-moving government programmes," said the Republicans' House minority leader John Boehner.
But this was a battle they could not win in the House, where Democrats have a large majority.
It is slimmer in the Senate where Republicans could slow the bill's progress, but Democrats are confident they can get the measure through there, and they have set a target for mid-February to have the bill on Mr Obama's desk to be signed into law.
Failing to attract significant Republican support for the bill, our correspondent says, is a blow to Mr Obama's hopes of forging a new consensus in Washington, at this time of economic crisis.
Greater accountability
Mr Obama said earlier workers were looking for "bold and swift" action from leaders, and called on businesses to play their part in economic recovery by creating jobs in a "favourable climate" started by government.

"I am confident that we are going to get it passed," Mr Obama said.
The US "cannot afford inaction or delay", he said after meeting business leaders at the White House.
Laying the blame for the economic crisis partially on a "sense of irresponsibility" on Wall Street and the government in Washington DC, he said corporate America had to take responsibility for its workers, but that Washington needed to provide leadership with the stimulus plan.
The president has said most of the money in his package would be used "immediately", creating as many as 4m jobs - the vast majority in the private sector - and that there would be a greater measure of accountability.
Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner, who was sworn in on Monday, has the task of trying to get the US economy back in shape.
Meanwhile, Mr Obama attended his first Pentagon session with the joint chiefs of staff on Wednesday, telling them the military had carried out its missions under enormous pressure, and pledging his support to the troops.
Mr Obama, who campaigned on a promise to end the war in Iraq responsibly and withdraw troops next year, said his administration faces tough decisions on Iraq and Afghanistan.


dear readers

Are you in the United States? Do you agree with President Obama's proposals? leave your comments and experiences ..





Monday, January 26, 2009

Economists: slump getting inferior

Analysis at private-sector companies forecasts greater job losses and deterioration economic conditions in the months to come.
Economists expect an already deep recession to get even worse in 2009, according to a survey released Monday.
Companies will lay off more workers and hoard more cash during the next 12 months, according to the National Association for Business Economics survey, a quarterly take from a panel of economists at private-sector companies in various industries. A vast majority of the 105 economists polled believe the country's gross domestic product will continue to sink in 2009.
If business conditions indeed worsen during the year, they will be sinking from already historic lows. The survey's measures of consumer demand, profit margins and capital expenditures all hit their lowest-ever levels in January's edition of the 27-year old survey.
"NABE's January 2009 Industry Survey depicts the worst business conditions since the survey began in 1982, confirming that the U.S. recession deepened in the fourth quarter of 2008," said Sara Johnson, a NABE economist.
Nearly half - 47% - of surveyed economists said overall industry demand was falling, compared with 35% who said so in the October survey. Just 10% of respondents said profit margins were rising, compared with 52% who believe they are falling. And 38% of economists said capital expenses are falling, up from just 15% in October.
Credit conditions hurt businesses, according to the economists, as customers had less leverage to buy discretionary products. 78% of respondents said tightening credit conditions affected customers, and 52% said the credit crunch directly hurt businesses in their industries.
Pessimistic outlook on weak environment
With business conditions souring, the outlook for jobs has grown increasingly negative. 39% of economists believe their industries will lay off employees in the next six months, compared with 32% in October.
The forecast was particularly poor for the goods-producing sector, in which 69% of economists saw layoffs in the future, and no one believed the industry would be adding jobs. Service-sector economists were the most optimistic, with only 9% seeing layoffs and 29% saying their industry would be hiring in the next six months.
Companies will likely curtail spending in the coming months as well, according to the survey. 44% of the economists believed capital spending in their industries would fall off in the coming year, compared with just 16% who believed their businesses would increase spending.
Rising unemployment, tightening credit conditions and a difficult lending environment led economists to give a more pessimistic outlook on growth for 2009.
Just 22% believed the U.S. economy would expand this year, down from 62% who thought so in October. Although 26% now believe the economy will shrink less than 1% this year, 52% now think the economy will shrink by more than 1%, which no one predicted in October.

more....


Global outlook to be slashed - again


The International Monetary Fund (IMF) will cut its 2009 global growth forecast again, this time to between 1% and 1.5%, as economic conditions deteriorate further, an IMF official said on Sunday.
The IMF's latest forecast, made in November, was for growth of 2.2%.
"It will be revised to 1 to 1.5% in 2009, which is huge," Axel Bertuch-Samuels, deputy director of IMF's monetary and capital markets department, told Reuters on the sidelines of a conference in the United Arab Emirates.
"Global economic prospects have deteriorated in recent months, consumer and business confidence have dropped to levels that we have not seen in decades and activity too has dropped sharply," he said.
The 2009 year will be enormously challenging for the world's economy, he said.
In November, the IMF cut projections sharply for world growth in 2009 to 2.2%, down 0.8 percentage points from an October forecast, noting industrialised economies were headed for the first full-year contraction since World War Two.
An official release of updated IMF economic forecasts is expected on Wednesday, he said, and even forecasts for emerging markets like China and India will see downward revisions
.