Tuesday, March 3, 2009

new sales contracts on existing homes fell a seasonally adjusted 7.7% in January amid job losses


Pending U.S. home sales sank to a new record low in January as economic woes turned buyers away from the staggering housing market.

Supply of unsold homes rises to record-high 13.3 months
Despite a record drop in prices, sales of new homes fell 10.2% in January to a record-low seasonally adjusted annual rate of 309,000, the Commerce Department estimated Thursday. Sales were down 48.2% compared with a year earlier, the government reported, an indication that the downturn in the housing market was still accelerating as the recession headed into its second year.

The index is now down 6.4% from a year earlier, the National Association of Realtors said.
"We expect similarly soft home sales in the near term, but buyers are expected to respond to much improved affordability conditions and from the $8,000 first-time buyer tax credit" in the stimulus package, said Lawrence Yun, NAR's chief economist, in a statement.
January's pending sales rose more than 2% in the West. Elsewhere, pending sales fell, declining almost 13% in the Northeast, almost 12% in the South, and more than 9% in the Midwest.
The Tuesday report points to weak upcoming sales data, wrote Ian Shepherdson, chief U.S. economist with High Frequency Economics, in a research note.
"It will be awful, the only question is the degree of awfulness," Shepherdson wrote.
In December, the pending home sales index rose 4.8%, compared with a prior estimate of a 6.3% gain.
The index is based on signed sales contracts, which usually occur a month or two before the sale is closed, when sales are reported in the NAR's existing-home sales report.
Even with many serious potential home buyers on the sidelines waiting for passage of the stimulus bill, job losses and weak consumer confidence were a natural drag on home sales," Lawrence Yun, the Realtors chief economist, said in a statement.

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